Rio Cup Normal Season Round 3

Petrópolis vs Friburguense analysis

Petrópolis Friburguense
49 ELO 50
-3.7% Tilt -4.8%
5712º General ELO ranking 6849º
207º Country ELO ranking 274º
ELO win probability
37.1%
Petrópolis
25.2%
Draw
37.6%
Friburguense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
Petrópolis
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37.6%
Win probability
Friburguense
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Petrópolis
-32%
-12%
Friburguense

ELO progression

Petrópolis
Friburguense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Petrópolis
Petrópolis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2015
BAN
Bangu
0 - 1
Petrópolis
PET
59%
23%
18%
47 55 8 0
26 Aug. 2015
PET
Petrópolis
4 - 0
Angra dos Reis
ANG
57%
23%
20%
46 41 5 +1
13 Jun. 2015
SAM
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1 - 1
Petrópolis
PET
46%
25%
30%
46 46 0 0
09 Jun. 2015
PET
Petrópolis
2 - 0
Goytacaz
GOY
37%
26%
37%
44 49 5 +2
30 May. 2015
SCR
São Cristóvão RJ
1 - 2
Petrópolis
PET
31%
24%
45%
43 35 8 +1

Matches

Friburguense
Friburguense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2015
FRI
Friburguense
0 - 1
Bangu
BAN
44%
26%
30%
52 54 2 0
09 Apr. 2015
BOA
Boavista SC
1 - 1
Friburguense
FRI
40%
26%
34%
52 49 3 0
05 Apr. 2015
FRI
Friburguense
5 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
13%
22%
66%
51 79 28 +1
29 Mar. 2015
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 1
Volta Redonda
VOL
36%
28%
37%
51 57 6 0
26 Mar. 2015
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
1 - 0
Friburguense
FRI
35%
27%
38%
52 47 5 -1