UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 1-2
Gomel vs KF Tirana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gomel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2004 |
DNP
1 - 2
GOM
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
GOM
2 - 1
PMI
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
DIN
0 - 1
GOM
18%
24%
59%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
NEM
4 - 1
GOM
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
GOM
2 - 2
NAF
78%
16%
7%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
KF Tirana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2004 |
ELB
2 - 5
TIR
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
TIR
1 - 1
DIN
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
TEU
2 - 2
TIR
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
TIR
0 - 0
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
VLZ
3 - 0
TIR
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |