Golden Arrows vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
GOL
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
PIR
1 - 0
GOL
59%
25%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
GOL
2 - 3
SSU
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
PLS
3 - 1
GOL
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
GOL
0 - 1
SUN
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
FRE
2 - 1
BLA
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
FRE
3 - 1
AJA
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
COS
2 - 1
FRE
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
PIR
1 - 1
FRE
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
PIR
1 - 0
FRE
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |