Goldau vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LUZ
1 - 5
GOL
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GOL
2 - 0
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 2
GOL
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GOL
4 - 1
EMM
49%
23%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
IBA
3 - 1
GOL
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SAR
4 - 0
ESC
57%
21%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 3
SAR
18%
21%
60%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SAR
1 - 1
FCM
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AAR
3 - 1
SAR
67%
19%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LSS
1 - 4
SAR
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |