Goldau vs Malcantone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+172%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
16º
16º
44
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
87.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZUG
1 - 2
GOL
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 1
IBA
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
4 - 0
GOL
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GOL
7 - 1
EMM
66%
17%
17%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 5
LOC
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Malcantone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 2
ACM
79%
14%
8%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ACM
2 - 0
FCT
10%
16%
75%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | +7 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ACM
1 - 2
LAC
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BUO
2 - 0
ACM
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ACM
0 - 4
STG
3%
8%
89%
|
7 | 84 | 77 | 0 |