Goiriz vs Alfoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
+184%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goiriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ABA
0 - 1
GOI
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 1
SAC
53%
22%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MON
0 - 3
GOI
54%
22%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GOI
2 - 1
PON
36%
23%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alfoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
2 - 2
MEI
40%
23%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 0
ALF
65%
19%
16%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 2
FOZ
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 0
ALF
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |