Série D Brazil Eliminatorias. 1/16
Global 4-3
Goianésia vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
53.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
GOI
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 0
LTD
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AGU
3 - 1
GOI
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
1 - 1
GOI
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
ALA
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 0
GAM
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
GAM
3 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 0
GAM
17%
26%
58%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GAM
1 - 3
TFC
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | -1 |