GOES vs De Zouaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
GOE
2 - 2
DED
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FCB
5 - 1
GOE
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
GOE
1 - 2
VOC
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GOE
3 - 0
EDO
20%
22%
57%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +6 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
WES
1 - 4
GOE
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
De Zouaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
EDO
2 - 4
DEZ
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
DEZ
1 - 4
WES
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 1
DEZ
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
DEZ
4 - 2
NIE
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
RKA
3 - 6
DEZ
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |