GOES vs Marvilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.5%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 4
GOE
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GOE
1 - 0
TZA
64%
18%
19%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MOE
2 - 2
GOE
21%
20%
59%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BEE
2 - 6
GOE
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GOE
1 - 4
HVC
47%
23%
31%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Marvilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SVM
2 - 1
SCN
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TIL
1 - 4
SVM
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SVM
1 - 2
TOP
29%
21%
51%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MOC
1 - 2
SVM
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SVM
0 - 3
NEM
19%
19%
62%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |