GOES vs SteDoCo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
GOE
1 - 1
ODI
23%
21%
57%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 0
GOE
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
VVO
1 - 0
GOE
9%
16%
75%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
STA
3 - 1
GOE
50%
22%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
GOE
1 - 5
DVS
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
SteDoCo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
LIS
0 - 3
STE
47%
23%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
STE
1 - 3
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
TER
1 - 3
STE
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
STE
3 - 0
DVS
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ACV
0 - 0
STE
32%
24%
45%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |