GOES vs Nemelaer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+96%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NUE
2 - 0
GOE
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NIE
2 - 0
GOE
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GOE
2 - 4
POO
68%
17%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GOE
3 - 0
GDA
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 0
GOE
15%
19%
67%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Nemelaer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NEM
2 - 1
ROO
44%
24%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 0
NEM
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NEM
1 - 1
GES
15%
19%
66%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NEM
1 - 1
ROO
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DES
3 - 1
NEM
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |