GOES vs LONGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JEK
0 - 1
GOE
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GOE
0 - 1
VLI
40%
24%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 0
GOE
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GOE
4 - 0
BRA
39%
23%
37%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ROO
1 - 1
GOE
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
LONGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LON
0 - 3
NEM
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WSC
0 - 2
LON
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LON
0 - 1
RKV
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
GEL
1 - 1
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LON
0 - 0
IFC
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |