GOES vs IFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
GOE
1 - 5
ZWA
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
GOE
1 - 3
GVV
21%
24%
56%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
VVO
2 - 1
GOE
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
GOE
0 - 1
BEN
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SVG
1 - 0
GOE
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
NIE
3 - 0
IFC
68%
17%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
IFC
1 - 5
DEL
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ELI
3 - 1
IFC
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IFC
0 - 2
SCF
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
JOS
4 - 2
IFC
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |