GOES vs Hoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
HUI
2 - 2
GOE
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
GOE
0 - 1
NUN
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
AJA
3 - 3
GOE
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
GOE
1 - 4
SPA
24%
24%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
KLO
0 - 0
GOE
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
HOE
6 - 2
HUI
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
NUN
2 - 3
HOE
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HOE
3 - 0
AJA
71%
18%
12%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
SPA
2 - 4
HOE
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
HOE
0 - 0
KLO
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |