GOES vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
IFC
1 - 0
GOE
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EFC
3 - 1
GOE
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GOE
5 - 0
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JEK
0 - 1
GOE
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GOE
0 - 1
VLI
40%
24%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
GEL
3 - 1
WSC
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RKV
1 - 3
GEL
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
GEL
2 - 2
TER
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GEL
2 - 1
IFC
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
EFC
1 - 2
GEL
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |