Go Ahead vs Hierden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
ESC
0 - 2
GOA
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
GOA
1 - 2
SDV
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DOS
1 - 2
GOA
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
GOA
4 - 0
WVF
71%
16%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BEQ
0 - 5
GOA
16%
22%
62%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |