Go Ahead vs HHC Hardenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
57.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2010 |
BER
4 - 1
GOA
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GOA
0 - 2
EXC
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
GOA
1 - 2
ACV
28%
24%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
APE
1 - 0
GOA
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
PKC
4 - 0
GOA
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
HHC
3 - 2
PKC
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ACV
2 - 0
HHC
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
STA
3 - 0
HHC
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
HHC
1 - 1
GEN
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
HHC
0 - 0
FLE
48%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |