Go Ahead vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
NUN
2 - 0
GOA
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GOA
1 - 1
BER
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
HHC
0 - 5
GOA
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GOA
5 - 0
ORA
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
GEN
0 - 1
GOA
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HAR
4 - 1
FLE
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
HAR
2 - 2
NUN
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BER
0 - 1
HAR
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
HAR
1 - 2
HHC
17%
21%
61%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
ORA
1 - 2
HAR
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |