Go Ahead vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
GOA
1 - 2
ACV
28%
24%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
APE
1 - 0
GOA
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
PKC
4 - 0
GOA
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GOA
1 - 9
HAR
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
GOA
0 - 2
WHC
33%
24%
42%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 0
PKC
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 1
HAR
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ACV
0 - 1
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 0
FLE
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
STA
1 - 4
EXC
37%
25%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |