Go Ahead vs Berkum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GOA
1 - 4
FLE
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
NUN
0 - 2
GOA
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
GOA
3 - 2
BEQ
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
GEN
3 - 1
GOA
69%
18%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
HHC
3 - 1
GOA
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
WHC
2 - 2
BER
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
EXC
4 - 0
BER
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BER
2 - 2
APE
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BER
1 - 0
STA
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BER
1 - 1
NUN
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |