Go Ahead Eagles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
GAE
4 - 1
ALM
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
FCE
4 - 1
GAE
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
GAE
2 - 0
SPA
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RKC
0 - 2
GAE
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
HSC
2 - 2
GAE
15%
19%
66%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 1
WIL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 1
ZWO
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
DOV
0 - 3
WIL
6%
15%
78%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | +2 |