Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
18º
9º
38
5º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
91 | 91 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ZWO
1 - 1
GAE
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GAE
3 - 2
SCH
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GAE
4 - 1
VOL
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AZA
5 - 1
GAE
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GAE
0 - 2
BOR
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
3 - 1
VOL
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
AJA
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 2
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALM
37%
26%
38%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FEY
0 - 0
FOR
78%
15%
8%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |