Go Ahead Eagles U18 vs Willem II U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
7º
5º
30
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
EMM
3 - 5
GAE
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GAE
3 - 3
VOL
73%
15%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GAE
3 - 1
FCE
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 2
GAE
10%
15%
75%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GAE
2 - 1
ROD
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ALM
3 - 4
WIL
47%
20%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 0
WIL
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
19%
18%
63%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FDB
1 - 1
WIL
86%
9%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
5 - 0
VOL
30%
20%
50%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |