Gmunden vs Marchtrenk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gmunden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
GMU
37%
25%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
STA
2 - 0
GMU
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
GMU
2 - 2
UNI
51%
23%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
GRU
0 - 1
GMU
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
GMU
4 - 0
BAD
86%
10%
5%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Marchtrenk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
STM
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 2
DON
58%
20%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
WEL
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
NEU
0 - 1
MAR
38%
24%
39%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 2
MAR
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |