Gloucester City vs Vauxhall Motors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GLO
2 - 0
EAS
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
HYD
0 - 0
GLO
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HIS
4 - 3
GLO
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GLO
1 - 0
SOL
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2012 |
GLO
3 - 1
WOR
36%
27%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Vauxhall Motors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
NUN
2 - 1
VAU
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 1
GUI
22%
23%
55%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 3
HAL
24%
23%
54%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
COL
0 - 0
VAU
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
VAU
3 - 2
WOR
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |