National League North round 5

Gloucester City vs Guiseley analysis

Gloucester City Guiseley
41 ELO 55
-7.6% Tilt -4.6%
6363º General ELO ranking 4628º
234º Country ELO ranking 141º
ELO win probability
17.3%
Gloucester City
22.1%
Draw
60.5%
Guiseley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
Gloucester City
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.5%
Win probability
Guiseley
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gloucester City
+1%
-11%
Guiseley

ELO progression

Gloucester City
Guiseley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gloucester City
Gloucester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2013
LEA
Leamington
0 - 1
Gloucester City
GLO
70%
18%
12%
39 49 10 0
24 Aug. 2013
GLO
Gloucester City
1 - 2
AFC Telford United
AFC
46%
26%
29%
40 40 0 -1
20 Aug. 2013
GLO
Gloucester City
2 - 1
Worcester City
WOR
46%
25%
29%
39 39 0 +1
17 Aug. 2013
NOR
North Ferriby United
3 - 1
Gloucester City
GLO
72%
18%
11%
40 53 13 -1
27 Apr. 2013
COL
Colwyn Bay
1 - 0
Gloucester City
GLO
52%
23%
25%
41 42 1 -1

Matches

Guiseley
Guiseley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2013
GUI
Guiseley
1 - 0
Workington
WOR
69%
19%
12%
55 44 11 0
24 Aug. 2013
COL
Colwyn Bay
2 - 2
Guiseley
GUI
21%
23%
57%
55 40 15 0
20 Aug. 2013
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
1 - 2
Guiseley
GUI
37%
26%
37%
54 51 3 +1
17 Aug. 2013
GUI
Guiseley
0 - 3
Solihull Moors
SOL
62%
22%
16%
56 49 7 -2
04 May. 2013
GUI
Guiseley
0 - 2
FC Halifax Town
HAL
52%
23%
26%
57 53 4 -1