Gloucester City vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
GLO
1 - 1
CHO
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
WEA
3 - 1
GLO
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
GLO
3 - 2
KID
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 1
GLO
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 2
GLO
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
DAR
4 - 1
WEA
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
WEY
0 - 1
DAR
45%
23%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
FAR
1 - 0
DAR
36%
24%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
DAR
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
DAR
6 - 0
BLY
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |