Globo vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 1
COR
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 0
GLO
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 2
ABC
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 3
GLO
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
POT
0 - 3
GLO
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
SER
65%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
COL
38%
28%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
CEN
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SER
0 - 2
NAU
21%
27%
53%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |