Globo vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
GLO
76%
15%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 0
COR
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
GLO
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 0
ABC
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALE
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
ALE
44%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
POT
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |