Glentoran vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 0
BAL
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 1
ARC
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 1
LIN
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 1
GLE
15%
23%
62%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ARC
1 - 1
GLE
17%
21%
63%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GLE
3 - 2
DUN
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 2
GLE
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 3
GLE
17%
20%
63%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CRU
2 - 2
GLE
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
LIN
2 - 1
GLE
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |