Glentoran vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
6º
4º
62
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 0
GLE
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 1
LOU
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 1
HAR
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLE
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GLE
3 - 1
AUN
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CRU
5 - 1
DUN
76%
16%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
CRU
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
KNO
2 - 4
CRU
8%
15%
77%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CRU
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |