NIFL Premiership Round 12

Glentoran vs Crusaders analysis

Glentoran Crusaders
68 ELO 70
6.6% Tilt 4.9%
1506º General ELO ranking 1592º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
54.1%
Glentoran
23.8%
Draw
22%
Crusaders

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
Glentoran
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
Crusaders
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Glentoran
-1%
-15%
Crusaders

ELO progression

Glentoran
Crusaders
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glentoran
Glentoran
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 1996
POR
Portadown
1 - 1
Glentoran
GLE
56%
22%
22%
68 68 0 0
07 Dec. 1996
GLE
Glentoran
1 - 0
Coleraine
COL
46%
24%
30%
68 72 4 0
30 Nov. 1996
GLE
Glentoran
2 - 2
Glenavon
GLE
54%
23%
23%
68 68 0 0
23 Nov. 1996
CLI
Cliftonville
0 - 2
Glentoran
GLE
38%
27%
35%
67 59 8 +1
16 Nov. 1996
ARD
Ards FC
4 - 3
Glentoran
GLE
42%
26%
32%
68 59 9 -1

Matches

Crusaders
Crusaders
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 1996
CRU
Crusaders
2 - 1
Cliftonville
CLI
68%
19%
12%
70 59 11 0
07 Dec. 1996
ARD
Ards FC
0 - 0
Crusaders
CRU
46%
26%
28%
70 60 10 0
30 Nov. 1996
CRU
Crusaders
0 - 1
Linfield
LIN
60%
22%
18%
70 67 3 0
23 Nov. 1996
GLE
Glenavon
0 - 0
Crusaders
CRU
54%
23%
23%
70 68 2 0
16 Nov. 1996
CRU
Crusaders
2 - 0
Portadown
POR
51%
24%
26%
69 70 1 +1