Glenavon vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
7º
68
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
4 - 2
CRU
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
GLE
13%
17%
71%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 1
POR
78%
14%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 1
LAR
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
GLE
16%
19%
65%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 0
LIN
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 0
WAR
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 0
COL
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LIN
4 - 0
DUN
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |