Tennent's Irish Cup Last 16

Glenavon vs Linfield analysis

Glenavon Linfield
52 ELO 71
9.1% Tilt 7.7%
1719º General ELO ranking 1453º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.4%
Glenavon
21.3%
Draw
58.4%
Linfield

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
Glenavon
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
58.4%
Win probability
Linfield
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Glenavon
+2%
+21%
Linfield

ELO progression

Glenavon
Linfield
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2009
GLE
Glenavon
3 - 1
Newington Youth
NEY
56%
22%
22%
52 51 1 0
31 Jan. 2009
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 4
Linfield
LIN
19%
23%
58%
53 70 17 -1
27 Jan. 2009
COL
Coleraine
2 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
62%
21%
18%
54 58 4 -1
24 Jan. 2009
GLE
Glenavon
2 - 3
Bangor
BAN
46%
26%
28%
54 57 3 0
10 Jan. 2009
CRU
Crusaders
2 - 2
Glenavon
GLE
68%
20%
12%
54 65 11 0

Matches

Linfield
Linfield
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2009
PSN
PSNI
0 - 3
Linfield
LIN
13%
18%
69%
70 43 27 0
31 Jan. 2009
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 4
Linfield
LIN
19%
23%
58%
70 53 17 0
27 Jan. 2009
LIN
Linfield
1 - 0
Institute
INS
68%
20%
12%
70 57 13 0
24 Jan. 2009
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
0 - 1
Linfield
LIN
27%
24%
49%
70 57 13 0
17 Jan. 2009
LIN
Linfield
0 - 0
PSNI
PSN
78%
15%
7%
70 43 27 0