Glenavon vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 3
LIN
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CRU
3 - 0
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 0
CLI
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
4 - 1
ARD
67%
19%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GLE
3 - 1
WAR
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
INS
5 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LIM
0 - 5
INS
25%
25%
51%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
INS
2 - 0
GLE
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
INS
6 - 2
COA
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LIS
2 - 2
INS
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |