Northern Ireland League Cup . Last 16

Glenavon vs Dergview FC analysis

Glenavon Dergview FC
53 ELO 47
13.1% Tilt 14.2%
2295º General ELO ranking 5624º
10º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Glenavon
19%
Draw
16.9%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
Glenavon
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.9%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Glenavon
-31%
-22%
Dergview FC

ELO progression

Glenavon
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2012
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 1
Coleraine
COL
24%
25%
51%
53 68 15 0
28 Sep. 2012
BAL
Ballinamallard United
2 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
59%
22%
19%
53 59 6 0
22 Sep. 2012
GLE
Glenavon
2 - 3
Linfield
LIN
22%
23%
56%
54 68 14 -1
15 Sep. 2012
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
0 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
43%
24%
33%
53 49 4 +1
08 Sep. 2012
GLE
Glenavon
1 - 0
Crusaders
CRU
20%
23%
57%
52 68 16 +1

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2012
CAR
Carrick Rangers
6 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
57%
22%
21%
49 50 1 0
15 Sep. 2012
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 1
Tobermore United
TOB
70%
17%
13%
48 38 10 +1
06 Sep. 2012
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 1
Institute
INS
55%
23%
23%
48 47 1 0
01 Sep. 2012
LOU
Loughgall
0 - 4
Dergview FC
DER
46%
24%
31%
47 43 4 +1
27 Aug. 2012
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 1
Newry City
NEW
42%
24%
35%
46 50 4 +1
X