Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 2
CLI
33%
27%
41%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
GLE
18%
21%
61%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
GLE
2 - 0
GLE
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
CLI
0 - 2
CRU
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
CRU
0 - 0
CAR
78%
16%
6%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
CRU
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CRU
4 - 0
DUN
80%
14%
5%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |