Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
GLE
4 - 0
GLE
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
LIN
8 - 1
GLE
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BAL
0 - 3
GLE
45%
23%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
GLE
2 - 2
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
GLE
0 - 2
COL
25%
23%
52%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
CRU
1 - 2
DUN
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 5
CRU
9%
15%
76%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CRU
2 - 0
BAL
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CRU
3 - 0
LAR
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
COL
0 - 1
CRU
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |