Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 3
GLE
16%
21%
64%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 7
GLE
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
SHA
3 - 0
GLE
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
SHA
42%
24%
35%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRU
5 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 2
CRU
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CRU
1 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 1
GLE
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRU
6 - 2
INS
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |