Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 3
GLE
34%
24%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 2
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GLE
2 - 2
GLE
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
CLI
3 - 2
GLE
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
GLE
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 4
POR
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
CRU
46%
24%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
COL
4 - 1
CRU
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |