Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
5º
5º
50
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
GLE
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
GLE
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 1
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GLE
3 - 2
NEW
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 2
LOU
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
LOU
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 3
CAR
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
LIN
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |