NIFL Premiership Round 4

Glenavon vs Bangor analysis

Glenavon Bangor
69 ELO 60
7.1% Tilt 9.1%
1886º General ELO ranking 1206º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
67.2%
Glenavon
19.5%
Draw
13.3%
Bangor

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
Glenavon
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.3%
Win probability
Bangor
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Glenavon
-17%
-14%
Bangor

ELO progression

Glenavon
Bangor
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 1995
CRU
Crusaders
1 - 2
Glenavon
GLE
54%
24%
23%
68 69 1 0
07 Oct. 1995
ARD
Ards FC
1 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
54%
23%
23%
69 69 0 -1
30 Sep. 1995
GLE
Glenavon
0 - 3
Linfield
LIN
59%
22%
19%
71 71 0 -2
26 Sep. 1995
BRE
Werder Bremen
5 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
89%
8%
3%
73 88 15 -2
12 Sep. 1995
GLE
Glenavon
0 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
26%
24%
50%
73 87 14 0

Matches

Bangor
Bangor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 1995
BAN
Bangor
1 - 2
Linfield
LIN
46%
27%
28%
61 69 8 0
07 Oct. 1995
GLE
Glentoran
1 - 1
Bangor
BAN
65%
20%
14%
62 70 8 -1
30 Sep. 1995
BAN
Bangor
0 - 3
Portadown
POR
41%
26%
33%
64 70 6 -2
29 Apr. 1995
ARD
Ards FC
2 - 0
Bangor
BAN
65%
20%
14%
66 71 5 -2
22 Apr. 1995
BAN
Bangor
2 - 2
Ballyclare Comrades
BAL
68%
20%
12%
66 54 12 0