Girona vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 0
GIR
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 1
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
GIR
0 - 0
ALA
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 0
GIR
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 1
SAB
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
RJA
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
NUM
1 - 1
HER
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
UDL
3 - 0
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
HER
0 - 0
EIB
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALA
3 - 1
HER
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |