Girona vs Barça Atlètic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
HOS
2 - 2
GIR
79%
15%
7%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
GIR
2 - 1
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BAN
2 - 2
GIR
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
GAV
0 - 3
GIR
12%
21%
67%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
GIR
4 - 2
CDM
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Barça Atlètic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
DEP
1 - 1
FCB
64%
23%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
FCB
1 - 1
OVI
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
CFC
2 - 0
FCB
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
FCB
3 - 2
CAS
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
REC
3 - 1
FCB
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |