Copa Sudamericana Play-offs . Final
Global 1-3
Gimnasia La Plata vs Lanús analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 0
GLP
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
GLP
5 - 1
SMA
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
GLP
40%
29%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GLP
1 - 0
RAF
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
TEM
1 - 3
GLP
27%
31%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lanús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LAN
1 - 0
GLP
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
NOB
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
SAR
61%
24%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
NOB
1 - 1
LAN
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 2
BOC
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |