Gillingham vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
LEY
1 - 0
GIL
21%
22%
57%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
REA
2 - 1
GIL
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SUN
2 - 2
GIL
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GIL
1 - 2
AFC
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LIN
0 - 0
GIL
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SOU
3 - 1
BRO
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
OXF
2 - 1
SOU
81%
14%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 3
BUR
20%
23%
58%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 1
GIL
16%
23%
61%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
0 - 2
COV
14%
23%
64%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | -1 |