Gillingham vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
GIL
1 - 2
BUR
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
DON
1 - 1
GIL
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
WEL
5 - 0
GIL
19%
21%
61%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2019 |
GIL
1 - 1
SOU
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
DOV
2 - 2
GIL
25%
23%
53%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 0
NEW
24%
27%
50%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 2
MAN
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HUN
0 - 3
NEW
10%
18%
72%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
WES
1 - 8
NEW
12%
19%
69%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 1
NEW
15%
22%
64%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |