Checkatrade Trophy Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Gillingham vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
GIL
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
GIL
1 - 3
BRI
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
COL
1 - 2
GIL
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GIL
2 - 3
CHE
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
DON
1 - 2
GIL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
DON
1 - 1
BRI
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
GIL
1 - 3
BRI
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 1
YEO
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 0
BRI
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 0
CRA
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |