Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
STF
2 - 0
GIL
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 3
STO
16%
26%
59%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
GIL
1 - 0
ALD
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
DAG
2 - 1
GIL
28%
25%
48%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 2
GIL
66%
20%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
AFC
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
AFC
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 4
SOU
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 2
OXF
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 0
AFC
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |