Gilleleje vs HIK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
69.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gilleleje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
GIL
2 - 0
B77
57%
21%
22%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
HIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
HIK
2 - 0
RIS
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LFA
2 - 2
HIK
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HIK
1 - 1
BFR
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
HIK
1 - 0
GVI
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
B93
1 - 1
HIK
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |